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RESEARCH PAPERS

Gas Turbine Safety Improvement Through Risk Analysis

[+] Author and Article Information
T. M. Crosby, G. L. Reinman

Pratt & Whitney, P.O. Box 109600, West Palm Beach, FL 33410-9600

J. Eng. Gas Turbines Power 110(2), 265-270 (Apr 01, 1988) (6 pages) doi:10.1115/1.3240116 History: Received February 03, 1987; Online October 15, 2009

Abstract

This paper is intended to provide the engineer with the information necessary to understand certain statistical methods that are used to improve system safety. It will provide an understanding of Weibull analysis, in that it describes when the Weibull distribution is appropriate, how to construct a Weibull plot, and how to use the parameters of the Weibull distribution to calculate risk. The paper will also provide the engineer with a comprehension of Monte Carlo simulation as it relates to quantifying safety risk. The basic components of Monte Carlo simulation are discussed as well as the formulation of a system model and its application in the gas turbine industry.

Copyright © 1988 by ASME
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